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Texas Senate
GOP Primary

Image and Ballot Testing
August 27th, 2025

John Cornyn Opinion

Full Question: What is your opinion of Senator John Cornyn?

Topline

Very Fav.
19%
Sw' Fav.
29%
Sw' Unfav.
17%
Very Unfav.
26%
No opinion
7%
Never Heard
1%

Crosstabs

Very Fav.Sw' Fav.Sw' Unfav.Very Unfav.No opinionNever Hrd
Trump28%20%15%25%10%1%
Fiscal10%35%18%31%4%2%
Christian18%28%14%32%5%3%
Traditional19%40%25%14%2%0%
Female17%29%15%29%8%1%
Male22%29%19%24%5%1%
18-346%46%26%8%14%0%
35-448%22%16%45%6%4%
45-5411%29%10%36%13%2%
55-6417%27%16%28%10%2%
65+27%28%18%22%4%1%
White21%29%18%24%7%1%
Hispanic10%26%11%39%10%4%
Other Race14%27%13%35%11%1%
HS22%29%18%22%8%0%
Some College22%30%13%26%7%3%
Associate19%24%19%30%4%3%
Bachelor's15%30%18%30%5%2%
Graduate16%27%17%28%11%1%
4 of 420%31%15%29%4%1%
3 of 424%20%16%34%6%0%
2 of 418%29%19%26%6%2%
1 of 420%36%16%19%9%1%
0 of 411%26%22%17%19%6%
Dallas-Ft W23%27%14%26%8%1%
Houston19%24%14%31%10%2%
San Antonio17%20%21%27%14%1%
Austin26%27%22%20%1%3%
Other DMA15%38%19%23%3%1%
Very Fav.Sw' Fav.Sw' Unfav.Very Unfav.No opinionNever Hrd
Lower Higher

Ken Paxton Opinion

Full Question: What is your opinion of Attorney General Ken Paxton?

Topline

Very Fav.
35%
Sw' Fav.
28%
Sw' Unfav.
8%
Very Unfav.
23%
No opinion
6%
Never Heard
0%

Crosstabs

Very Fav.Sw' Fav.Sw' Unfav.Very Unfav.No opinionNever Hrd
Trump53%29%8%4%5%0%
Fiscal21%17%10%47%3%1%
Christian29%39%9%14%8%1%
Traditional12%21%12%50%5%0%
Female33%28%7%24%8%0%
Male38%28%9%22%3%1%
18-3426%3%4%58%10%0%
35-4434%18%3%38%6%1%
45-5433%29%8%22%7%1%
55-6437%27%9%18%8%0%
65+37%34%9%16%4%0%
White35%26%8%25%6%0%
Hispanic40%37%6%17%1%0%
Other Race35%31%9%14%10%1%
HS36%33%6%19%7%0%
Some College39%26%9%19%6%0%
Associate37%33%9%13%6%2%
Bachelor's33%23%11%28%4%1%
Graduate30%21%7%38%5%1%
4 of 433%34%9%21%3%0%
3 of 435%34%6%20%5%0%
2 of 434%29%8%27%2%0%
1 of 444%22%9%21%4%0%
0 of 429%6%7%30%26%3%
Dallas-Ft W36%27%10%22%6%0%
Houston36%29%7%20%8%1%
San Antonio46%23%8%15%8%0%
Austin24%14%12%46%4%0%
Other DMA32%33%6%25%4%1%
Very Fav.Sw' Fav.Sw' Unfav.Very Unfav.No opinionNever Hrd
Lower Higher

Full Ballot

Full Question: If the March 3, 2026, Republican primary election for U.S. Senate were held today between these candidates, who would you vote for?

Topline

Ken Paxton
39%
John Cornyn
36%
Undecided
26%

Crosstabs

Ken PaxtonJohn CornynUndecided
Trump52%27%20%
Fiscal29%50%21%
Christian46%32%22%
Traditional20%68%13%
Female34%39%27%
Male43%33%24%
18-3426%61%13%
35-4438%26%36%
45-5441%21%38%
55-6445%30%25%
65+38%40%22%
White38%40%22%
Hispanic39%15%46%
Other Race41%24%35%
HS34%33%33%
Some College42%38%20%
Associate51%32%17%
Bachelor's40%37%24%
Graduate35%43%22%
4 of 443%36%21%
3 of 438%33%29%
2 of 442%36%23%
1 of 433%38%29%
0 of 431%38%31%
Dallas-Ft W35%39%26%
Houston39%30%31%
San Antonio51%26%24%
Austin20%61%19%
Other DMA41%36%23%
Ken PaxtonJohn CornynUndecided
Lower Higher

Methodology & Demographics

Fielded On
August 25-27, 2025
Method
Mobile Text Responses and Landline Interviews
Population & Sample
818 Likely Republican Primary Voters
Weighting
Age, Gender, Education Level, and Race
Margin of Error
+/- 3.43%

Republican Type

Trump44%
Fiscal26%
Christian17%
Traditional12%

Age

18-348%
35-4411%
45-5412%
55-6419%
65+50%

Gender

Female51%
Male49%

Education

HS37%
Some College19%
Associate8%
Bachelor's23%
Graduate13%

Race

White81%
Hispanic10%
Other Race9%

Last 4 Primaries

4 of 429%
3 of 421%
2 of 420%
1 of 419%
0 of 411%

DMA

Dallas-Ft W30%
Houston21%
San Antonio14%
Austin7%
Other DMA29%

Community

Suburban40%
Urban31%
Rural28%

Household Income

<$50k10%
$50-75k16%
$75-100k18%
$100-150k35%
$150k+21%