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New York Governor
2026 General Election

Image and Ballot Testing
May 2nd, 2025

Trump Approval

Full Question: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President?

Topline

Approve
44%
Disapprove
49%
Unsure
7%

Crosstabs

ApproveDisapproveUnsure
Democrat25%67%8%
Republican82%12%6%
NP/Other42%54%4%
Female40%54%6%
Male49%43%8%
18-3449%42%9%
35-4443%50%7%
45-5439%48%13%
55-6450%47%3%
65+42%53%5%
Conserv86%7%7%
Moderate26%64%10%
Liberal7%93%0%
White48%48%5%
Black10%62%28%
Hispanic48%48%4%
Other Race50%46%4%
HS56%33%11%
Some Coll45%51%5%
College40%56%4%
Grad+26%69%5%
4 of 440%55%5%
3 of 456%34%10%
2 of 446%51%3%
1 of 457%26%16%
0 of 418%77%6%
NYC42%50%7%
Buffalo55%38%7%
Albany44%47%9%
Rochester32%63%5%
Other DMA52%44%3%
ApproveDisapproveUnsure
Lower Higher

Hochul Approval

Full Question: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kathy Hochul is handling her job as Governor of New York?

Topline

Approve
30%
Disapprove
57%
Unsure
14%

Crosstabs

ApproveDisapproveUnsure
Democrat41%41%18%
Republican3%91%5%
NP/Other36%49%15%
Female36%51%13%
Male23%63%14%
18-3419%73%8%
35-4432%53%15%
45-5423%65%12%
55-6431%59%11%
65+35%48%17%
Conserv4%93%3%
Moderate43%39%18%
Liberal51%24%25%
White28%60%12%
Black56%33%11%
Hispanic18%61%21%
Other Race28%48%23%
HS23%71%6%
Some Coll35%45%20%
College26%64%10%
Grad+42%35%23%
4 of 432%55%13%
3 of 423%61%16%
2 of 431%59%9%
1 of 417%77%5%
0 of 459%25%16%
NYC31%56%13%
Buffalo18%62%20%
Albany32%53%15%
Rochester45%42%14%
Other DMA24%66%10%
ApproveDisapproveUnsure
Lower Higher

Hochul Re-Elect

Full Question: Do you think Kathy Hochul has performed her job as Governor well enough to deserve re-election or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance?

Topline

Re-elect Hochul
27%
Someone New
63%
Unsure
10%

Crosstabs

Re-electSomeone NewUnsure
Democrat36%52%12%
Republican4%89%7%
NP/Other33%59%8%
Female31%58%11%
Male21%70%9%
18-3417%74%9%
35-4430%59%11%
45-5415%71%14%
55-6427%68%5%
65+33%56%11%
Conserv4%94%2%
Moderate37%48%15%
Liberal48%39%14%
White26%67%7%
Black45%34%21%
Hispanic10%80%11%
Other Race26%55%19%
HS18%76%6%
Some Coll35%55%11%
College22%65%12%
Grad+38%47%15%
4 of 429%62%9%
3 of 419%68%12%
2 of 436%60%4%
1 of 418%69%13%
0 of 430%57%13%
NYC25%63%12%
Buffalo25%67%7%
Albany34%57%9%
Rochester45%49%6%
Other DMA22%76%3%
Re-electSomeone NewUnsure
Lower Higher

Stefanik Opinion

Full Question: What is your opinion of Elise Stefanik?

Topline

Favorable
34%
Unfavorable
32%
Unsure
19%
Never Heard
15%

Crosstabs

FavorableUnfavorableUnsureNever Heard
Democrat14%39%27%20%
Republican69%11%11%9%
NP/Other35%40%12%12%
Female26%31%26%17%
Male43%32%11%14%
18-3415%23%46%15%
35-4435%39%7%20%
45-5432%28%26%14%
55-6445%30%13%13%
65+35%34%15%16%
Conserv65%6%19%11%
Moderate20%39%24%17%
Liberal7%63%11%18%
White37%34%19%11%
Black14%30%15%40%
Hispanic22%27%26%25%
Other Race46%18%22%14%
HS39%20%26%15%
Some Coll38%37%13%12%
College35%37%16%12%
Grad+17%41%17%24%
4 of 433%36%15%15%
3 of 441%22%23%15%
2 of 441%37%12%10%
1 of 411%11%53%25%
0 of 420%48%15%17%
NYC29%31%22%19%
Buffalo42%24%20%14%
Albany48%43%9%1%
Rochester30%31%17%22%
Other DMA47%33%14%6%
FavorableUnfavorableUnsureNever Heard
Lower Higher

Lawler Opinion

Full Question: What is your opinion of Mike Lawler?

Topline

Favorable
16%
Unfavorable
25%
Unsure
30%
Never Heard
29%

Crosstabs

FavorableUnfavorableUnsureNever Heard
Democrat7%31%27%35%
Republican30%9%40%21%
NP/Other18%30%25%26%
Female11%24%33%32%
Male22%26%26%26%
18-349%21%21%49%
35-4418%33%20%29%
45-5416%22%27%36%
55-6424%22%28%26%
65+13%27%38%21%
Conserv28%9%32%31%
Moderate10%29%32%29%
Liberal5%45%24%26%
White16%25%31%28%
Black10%26%13%52%
Hispanic14%31%35%21%
Other Race27%19%31%22%
HS13%17%33%36%
Some Coll19%28%29%24%
College20%33%26%21%
Grad+12%28%28%32%
4 of 415%26%31%28%
3 of 421%23%34%23%
2 of 416%32%37%15%
1 of 48%5%5%82%
0 of 412%46%12%30%
NYC20%31%23%26%
Buffalo10%15%38%38%
Albany5%26%36%32%
Rochester15%13%32%41%
Other DMA8%12%52%28%
FavorableUnfavorableUnsureNever Heard
Lower Higher

Blakeman Opinion

Full Question: What is your opinion of Bruce Blakeman?

Topline

Favorable
12%
Unfavorable
15%
Unsure
31%
Never Heard
42%

Crosstabs

FavorableUnfavorableUnsureNever Heard
Democrat5%18%34%44%
Republican27%5%29%39%
NP/Other11%19%28%42%
Female9%13%34%44%
Male16%16%28%40%
18-348%9%22%60%
35-4410%16%23%50%
45-549%13%21%57%
55-6416%19%26%39%
65+13%14%44%29%
Conserv23%7%27%44%
Moderate7%16%37%40%
Liberal2%24%28%46%
White13%13%32%42%
Black7%18%21%54%
Hispanic9%31%30%30%
Other Race16%4%38%42%
HS13%12%34%41%
Some Coll13%11%32%44%
College15%22%27%36%
Grad+6%14%29%51%
4 of 416%16%31%37%
3 of 47%11%35%47%
2 of 47%11%39%44%
1 of 40%3%9%88%
0 of 410%39%22%29%
NYC13%17%27%43%
Buffalo6%8%45%41%
Albany9%13%37%41%
Rochester8%16%34%42%
Other DMA16%7%35%42%
FavorableUnfavorableUnsureNever Heard
Lower Higher

Cuomo Opinion

Full Question: What is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo?

Topline

Favorable
32%
Unfavorable
56%
Unsure
12%
Never Heard
1%

Crosstabs

FavorableUnfavorableUnsureNever Heard
Democrat41%42%16%1%
Republican13%81%5%0%
NP/Other34%54%10%1%
Female33%51%15%1%
Male30%61%8%0%
18-3432%61%7%1%
35-4429%55%15%2%
45-5420%68%12%0%
55-6428%63%9%0%
65+39%46%15%0%
Conserv8%86%6%0%
Moderate52%32%15%1%
Liberal34%48%16%1%
White21%67%11%0%
Black69%7%21%3%
Hispanic58%29%12%1%
Other Race54%42%5%0%
HS35%57%7%1%
Some Coll36%50%14%0%
College25%62%12%0%
Grad+27%53%19%1%
4 of 433%55%12%0%
3 of 431%57%11%1%
2 of 431%61%8%0%
1 of 410%77%13%1%
0 of 451%31%13%6%
NYC37%50%12%0%
Buffalo9%72%18%1%
Albany27%65%6%2%
Rochester34%55%10%1%
Other DMA22%65%12%0%
FavorableUnfavorableUnsureNever Heard
Lower Higher

Generic Ballot

Full Question: If the 2026 election for Governor were held today, who would you vote for?

Topline

Democrat
44%
Republican
43%
Undecided
13%

Crosstabs

DemocratRepublicanUndecided
Democrat66%19%15%
Republican2%86%12%
NP/Other46%42%12%
Female48%37%15%
Male39%49%11%
18-3453%36%11%
35-4453%35%12%
45-5431%44%25%
55-6438%54%8%
65+46%42%13%
Conserv6%88%6%
Moderate57%23%20%
Liberal84%2%14%
White38%49%13%
Black73%6%21%
Hispanic63%28%10%
Other Race41%45%13%
HS35%53%12%
Some Coll45%44%11%
College46%41%13%
Grad+57%24%18%
4 of 445%41%14%
3 of 440%47%14%
2 of 443%49%9%
1 of 430%58%12%
0 of 481%17%2%
NYC49%40%11%
Buffalo30%57%14%
Albany39%40%21%
Rochester59%35%6%
Other DMA25%51%24%
DemocratRepublicanUndecided
Lower Higher

Most Important Issue

Full Question: Which of the following do you consider the most important issue facing the State of New York?

Topline

Inflation
26%
Taxes/Spending
16%
Crime
14%
Illegal Immig.
13%
Econ/Jobs
9%
Healthcare
4%
Energy Prices
3%
Housing
3%
Abortion Rights
3%
Education
1%
Other
9%

Crosstabs

DemocratRepublicanNP/OtherFemaleMaleConservModerateLiberal
Inflation33%12%30%29%23%12%33%38%
Taxes/Spending5%29%22%11%21%25%13%5%
Crime15%17%6%15%12%18%14%3%
Illegal Immig.9%22%9%14%11%26%7%0%
Econ/Jobs11%4%9%8%9%5%8%16%
Healthcare4%3%8%5%3%1%7%7%
Energy Prices3%5%2%2%5%4%4%1%
Housing5%0%2%1%5%0%3%8%
Abortion Rights4%0%2%4%1%0%2%9%
Education1%0%2%1%1%0%2%2%
Other9%9%8%9%8%9%7%11%
DemocratRepublicanNP/OtherFemaleMaleConservModerateLiberal
Lower Higher

H2H Ballot: Hochul v Stefanik

Full Question: If the 2026 election for Governor were held today between these candidates, who would you vote for?

Topline

Kathy Hochul, D
43%
Elise Stefanik, R
42%
Undecided
14%

Crosstabs

HochulStefanikUndecided
Democrat60%20%20%
Republican8%82%11%
NP/Other50%43%7%
Female50%36%15%
Male36%50%14%
18-3439%31%30%
35-4449%36%14%
45-5444%49%7%
55-6438%54%8%
65+45%40%15%
Conserv4%80%17%
Moderate59%29%12%
Liberal84%4%12%
White43%45%12%
Black54%12%33%
Hispanic39%46%15%
Other Race40%53%7%
HS27%50%23%
Some Coll49%43%8%
College48%42%11%
Grad+63%27%10%
4 of 447%41%11%
3 of 430%54%15%
2 of 444%50%6%
1 of 429%15%56%
0 of 480%16%4%
NYC44%39%16%
Buffalo33%56%11%
Albany48%46%6%
Rochester61%30%9%
Other DMA33%53%14%
HochulStefanikUndecided
Lower Higher

Republican Primary

Full Question: If the election were held today, who would you vote for in the 2026 Republican primary election for Governor? (Asked of likely Republican primary voters, n=294)

Topline

Stefanik
56%
Mike Lawler
9%
Bruce Blakeman
8%
Someone else
5%
Undecided
23%

Crosstabs

StefanikLawlerBlakemanOtherUndec.
Female61%6%5%5%23%
Male51%12%11%5%22%
18-3455%4%12%13%16%
35-4429%18%14%3%36%
45-5451%18%3%2%27%
55-6460%9%7%4%19%
65+58%7%8%5%23%
Conserv64%6%10%4%17%
Moderate33%16%4%7%40%
Liberal55%6%0%20%19%
White55%9%8%5%23%
Black13%20%0%0%67%
Hispanic63%20%11%0%6%
Other Race71%0%3%0%26%
HS68%5%6%2%19%
Some Coll48%15%9%12%16%
College51%5%12%4%28%
Grad+46%15%5%4%30%
4 of 454%9%8%6%24%
3 of 463%4%4%6%23%
2 of 448%9%12%0%30%
1 of 453%17%16%0%14%
0 of 455%13%6%9%16%
NYC53%11%11%3%22%
Buffalo40%5%3%11%42%
Albany72%0%5%2%20%
Rochester55%11%2%10%22%
Other DMA62%10%6%7%15%
StefanikLawlerBlakemanOtherUndec.
LowerHigher

Trump Endorsement

Full Question: If President Donald Trump endorsed a candidate for Governor of New York, would that make you more or less likely to vote for that candidate?

Topline

More Likely
33%
Less Likely
43%
No Difference
23%

Crosstabs

More LikelyLess LikelyNo Diff.
Democrat22%58%20%
Republican60%11%29%
NP/Other26%49%25%
Female32%50%18%
Male34%36%29%
18-3446%38%16%
35-4429%45%26%
45-5423%41%36%
55-6435%36%29%
65+34%50%17%
Conserv65%7%29%
Moderate18%56%26%
Liberal7%82%11%
White35%43%21%
Black7%46%48%
Hispanic38%43%19%
Other Race41%43%16%
HS45%29%25%
Some Coll32%48%20%
College28%47%25%
Grad+16%61%23%
4 of 429%49%22%
3 of 443%28%29%
2 of 427%47%26%
1 of 460%20%20%
0 of 410%81%9%
NYC34%42%24%
Buffalo35%40%25%
Albany23%45%32%
Rochester27%60%12%
Other DMA40%40%20%
More LikelyLess LikelyNo Diff.
LowerHigher

Trump Affinity

Full Question: When thinking about President Donald Trump, which statement most aligns with your views?

Topline

Full Support
33%
Support Policies
15%
Don't Support
46%
Unsure
5%

Crosstabs

Full SupportSupp. PoliciesDon't SupportUnsure
Democrat13%16%63%8%
Republican75%11%10%4%
NP/Other27%18%53%2%
Female26%18%51%5%
Male42%12%41%5%
18-3415%37%42%6%
35-4429%14%48%8%
45-5430%20%41%9%
55-6440%14%45%1%
65+38%7%50%5%
Conserv69%19%6%6%
Moderate15%20%59%6%
Liberal5%1%92%2%
White37%14%45%3%
Black8%13%58%21%
Hispanic22%29%44%5%
Other Race39%12%43%6%
HS36%24%31%10%
Some Coll39%11%49%1%
College31%13%54%3%
Grad+23%7%66%5%
4 of 435%10%52%2%
3 of 438%19%32%11%
2 of 429%20%50%1%
1 of 49%50%26%14%
0 of 411%8%75%6%
NYC29%17%48%7%
Buffalo48%9%37%5%
Albany39%16%42%3%
Rochester27%12%56%6%
Other DMA43%14%42%1%
Full SupportSupp. PoliciesDon't SupportUnsure
LowerHigher

2022 NY Gov Vote

Full Question: Confidentially, who did you vote for in the 2022 New York Gubernatorial Election?

Topline

Kathy Hochul
50%
Lee Zeldin
45%
Did not vote
5%

Crosstabs

HochulZeldinDid Not Vote
Democrat71%24%5%
Republican10%85%5%
NP/Other52%43%5%
Female54%40%6%
Male45%51%4%
18-3432%48%20%
35-4460%35%5%
45-5448%49%3%
55-6444%52%3%
65+56%42%1%
Conserv11%87%3%
Moderate64%30%6%
Liberal92%1%7%
White46%50%4%
Black79%11%10%
Hispanic53%41%6%
Other Race46%44%9%
HS35%60%6%
Some Coll56%39%5%
College53%41%6%
Grad+64%30%6%
4 of 455%42%3%
3 of 438%56%6%
2 of 444%46%9%
1 of 432%48%20%
0 of 467%16%17%
NYC55%39%5%
Buffalo34%61%5%
Albany51%44%5%
Rochester59%39%2%
Other DMA36%60%4%
HochulZeldinDid Not Vote
LowerHigher

2024 Presidential Vote

Full Question: Confidentially, who did you vote for in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Topline

Kamala Harris
49%
Donald Trump
46%
Someone else
3%
Did not vote
2%

Crosstabs

HarrisTrumpOtherDid Not Vote
Democrat68%25%3%4%
Republican12%86%2%0%
NP/Other51%45%3%2%
Female55%42%2%1%
Male41%51%4%4%
18-3440%52%3%5%
35-4450%39%3%8%
45-5447%45%6%2%
55-6443%53%3%1%
65+55%43%1%1%
Conserv7%89%2%3%
Moderate65%30%4%1%
Liberal91%3%2%3%
White45%51%2%1%
Black74%6%8%11%
Hispanic47%48%3%1%
Other Race48%46%3%4%
HS36%58%2%4%
Some Coll51%45%2%2%
College53%43%3%1%
Grad+66%27%6%1%
4 of 456%41%3%0%
3 of 433%59%3%5%
2 of 447%47%1%5%
1 of 435%63%0%2%
0 of 470%16%0%14%
NYC49%44%3%3%
Buffalo40%57%2%1%
Albany50%46%4%1%
Rochester59%37%3%2%
Other DMA46%53%0%1%
HarrisTrumpOtherDid Not Vote
LowerHigher

Methodology & Demographics

Fielded On
May 1-2, 2025
Method
Mobile Text Responses and Landline Interviews
Population & Sample
1,163 Likely General Election Voters (subset of 294 Likely Republican Primary Election Voters)
Weighting
Age, Gender, Education Level, Race, Registered Party, and DMA
Margin of Error
+/- 3.03%
Contact
Ryan Munce, President — ryan@coefficient.org

Registered Party

Democrat49%
Republican27%
NP/Other24%

Age

18-3413%
35-4414%
45-5415%
55-6421%
65+37%

Gender

Female54%
Male46%

Ideology

Conservative38%
Moderate40%
Liberal22%

Education

HS36%
Some College23%
College23%
Grad+18%

Race

White73%
Black10%
Hispanic9%
Other Race8%

Last 4 Generals

4 of 459%
3 of 426%
2 of 45%
1 of 46%
0 of 44%

DMA

NYC62%
Buffalo9%
Albany8%
Rochester7%
Other DMA13%

Household Income

<$50k17%
$50-75k17%
$75-100k16%
$100-150k28%
$150k+22%