Kansas Governor

2026 Republican Primary

Image, Ballot, and Message Testing
July 28th, 2026

Race Trend Summary

Initial Governor BallotWeek 1 → Week 4

Masterson ImageWeek 1 → Week 4

Sarnecki ImageWeek 1 → Week 4

Vote Method

Trend: Vote MethodWeek 1 → Week 4

Response	Wk 1	Wk 2	Wk 3	Wk 4	Chg
Election Day	58%	58%	53%	55%	+2
Early By Mail	5%	8%	6%	6%	±0
Early In Person	28%	26%	33%	32%	−1
Undecided	9%	8%	8%	7%	−1

Election Day

55%

Early By Mail

Early In Person

32%

Undecided

Full Question:

How do you plan to vote in the August 4th Republican primary election?

	Election Day	Early By Mail	Early In Person	Undecided
Election Day	100	0	0	0
Early By Mail	0	100	0	0
Early In Person	0	0	100	0
Undecided	0	0	0	100
Trump	56	6	30	8
Fiscal	49	5	38	8
Christian	57	7	30	5
Traditional	56	5	34	5
Female	50	8	35	8
Male	60	4	30	6
18-34	52	0	25	23
35-44	71	1	23	4
45-54	63	6	24	7
55-64	61	6	32	2
65+	47	8	39	6
Conservative	57	7	31	6
Moderate	48	4	38	11
White	55	6	33	7
Non-White	63	8	20	9
HS	62	7	22	10
Some College	53	7	34	6
College	52	4	39	4
Grad+	46	4	43	6
4 of 4	48	6	41	5
3 of 4	55	9	33	3
2 of 4	50	9	35	6
1 of 4	66	3	24	7
0 of 4	65	1	14	21
Wichita	59	4	30	7
Kansas City	45	9	39	8
Topeka	63	5	27	4
Other DMA	61	5	30	5
Rural	64	5	25	6
Suburban	48	7	38	6
Urban	42	7	39	11

Trump Approval

Trend: Trump ApprovalWeek 1 → Week 4

Response	Wk 1	Wk 2	Wk 3	Wk 4	Chg
Approve	80%	75%	71%	74%	+3
Disapprove	13%	13%	20%	18%	−2
Unsure	8%	12%	10%	8%	−2

Approve

74%

Disapprove

18%

Unsure

Full Question:

Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump's job performance?

	Approve	Disapprove	Unsure
Election Day	76	16	8
Early By Mail	70	19	11
Early In Person	74	21	5
Undecided	67	19	14
Trump	96	2	2
Fiscal	50	40	10
Christian	73	14	13
Traditional	47	41	12
Female	78	13	9
Male	71	23	6
18-34	58	31	12
35-44	56	32	12
45-54	69	23	8
55-64	80	14	6
65+	81	13	7
Conservative	86	8	7
Moderate	35	54	11
White	74	18	8
Non-White	73	24	3
HS	81	13	5
Some College	79	11	10
College	69	23	8
Grad+	53	38	9
4 of 4	74	20	7
3 of 4	74	18	8
2 of 4	77	16	7
1 of 4	74	15	11
0 of 4	73	22	6
Wichita	73	19	8
Kansas City	73	20	7
Topeka	78	16	7
Other DMA	78	14	7
Rural	77	15	8
Suburban	74	20	7
Urban	65	25	10

Kelly Approval

Trend: Kelly ApprovalWeek 1 → Week 4

Response	Wk 1	Wk 2	Wk 3	Wk 4	Chg
Approve	15%	16%	20%	16%	−4
Disapprove	67%	63%	63%	71%	+8
Unsure	18%	21%	17%	13%	−4

Approve

16%

Disapprove

71%

Unsure

13%

Full Question:

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Laura Kelly's job performance?

	Approve	Disapprove	Unsure
Election Day	14	74	12
Early By Mail	17	73	11
Early In Person	20	68	11
Undecided	13	55	31
Trump	6	81	13
Fiscal	34	52	14
Christian	7	79	14
Traditional	36	53	11
Female	15	72	13
Male	17	69	14
18-34	15	65	20
35-44	20	76	4
45-54	19	69	12
55-64	13	76	12
65+	16	69	15
Conservative	7	81	12
Moderate	47	34	19
White	16	71	14
Non-White	21	70	9
HS	8	75	17
Some College	15	74	11
College	18	69	13
Grad+	34	55	11
4 of 4	18	73	9
3 of 4	18	72	11
2 of 4	16	69	16
1 of 4	13	70	16
0 of 4	11	64	25
Wichita	16	71	14
Kansas City	19	67	14
Topeka	15	72	13
Other DMA	6	84	11
Rural	12	75	13
Suburban	20	67	13
Urban	19	67	15

Masterson Image

Trend: Masterson ImageWeek 1 → Week 4

Response	Wk 1	Wk 2	Wk 3	Wk 4	Chg
Favorable	30%	32%	35%	38%	+3
Unfavorable	18%	20%	26%	25%	−1
Unsure	38%	35%	31%	30%	−1
Never Heard	14%	13%	9%	7%	−2

Favorable

38%

Unfavorable

25%

Unsure

30%

Never Heard

Full Question:

What is your opinion of Ty Masterson?

	Favorable	Unfavorable	Unsure	Never Heard
Election Day	38	23	34	5
Early By Mail	47	25	26	2
Early In Person	40	29	26	5
Undecided	20	23	27	30
Trump	47	15	30	9
Fiscal	22	42	28	7
Christian	45	23	30	3
Traditional	23	36	35	6
Female	37	26	31	6
Male	38	25	30	7
18-34	35	15	28	23
35-44	27	35	31	7
45-54	36	24	36	4
55-64	36	31	29	3
65+	42	23	30	6
Conservative	44	19	30	7
Moderate	15	47	31	7
White	38	25	30	7
Non-White	33	30	35	3
HS	41	17	30	12
Some College	41	22	32	5
College	36	31	30	3
Grad+	25	42	29	4
4 of 4	41	32	26	2
3 of 4	40	26	29	5
2 of 4	34	23	33	10
1 of 4	26	23	41	10
0 of 4	46	12	25	17
Wichita	39	27	29	5
Kansas City	33	25	32	10
Topeka	38	23	33	6
Other DMA	50	20	22	8
Rural	36	25	31	8
Suburban	39	27	29	5
Urban	40	20	33	7

Sarnecki Image

Trend: Sarnecki ImageWeek 1 → Week 4

Response	Wk 1	Wk 2	Wk 3	Wk 4	Chg
Favorable	22%	27%	29%	30%	+1
Unfavorable	10%	9%	13%	15%	+2
Unsure	46%	42%	42%	41%	−1
Never Heard	22%	22%	17%	14%	−3

Favorable

30%

Unfavorable

15%

Unsure

41%

Never Heard

14%

Full Question:

What is your opinion of Philip Sarnecki?

	Favorable	Unfavorable	Unsure	Never Heard
Election Day	30	13	42	15
Early By Mail	38	13	35	14
Early In Person	30	19	41	9
Undecided	18	17	37	29
Trump	30	13	40	16
Fiscal	25	19	43	13
Christian	36	13	40	11
Traditional	26	21	41	12
Female	30	13	42	15
Male	30	18	40	12
18-34	13	26	28	33
35-44	41	15	31	13
45-54	35	17	40	8
55-64	29	16	43	11
65+	29	13	45	13
Conservative	34	14	39	14
Moderate	17	21	47	15
White	29	15	41	14
Non-White	48	12	35	6
HS	24	14	41	21
Some College	35	11	41	13
College	36	17	38	8
Grad+	24	25	44	7
4 of 4	32	20	42	7
3 of 4	34	12	44	10
2 of 4	26	12	45	17
1 of 4	35	12	35	18
0 of 4	15	22	33	30
Wichita	29	18	39	14
Kansas City	32	15	42	11
Topeka	28	9	45	18
Other DMA	29	12	43	15
Rural	30	15	40	15
Suburban	29	16	42	13
Urban	35	14	39	13

Schwab Image

Trend: Schwab ImageWeek 1 → Week 4

Response	Wk 1	Wk 2	Wk 3	Wk 4	Chg
Favorable	19%	21%	20%	25%	+5
Unfavorable	12%	13%	14%	16%	+2
Unsure	55%	52%	50%	48%	−2
Never Heard	14%	15%	15%	11%	−4

Favorable

25%

Unfavorable

16%

Unsure

48%

Never Heard

11%

Full Question:

What is your opinion of Scott Schwab?

	Favorable	Unfavorable	Unsure	Never Heard
Election Day	23	16	50	11
Early By Mail	29	13	53	5
Early In Person	28	18	46	7
Undecided	17	12	45	26
Trump	22	16	48	14
Fiscal	26	19	48	7
Christian	27	15	50	8
Traditional	28	16	47	10
Female	25	16	48	11
Male	24	16	49	11
18-34	21	18	30	30
35-44	26	18	44	13
45-54	26	18	50	5
55-64	25	11	53	11
65+	24	18	50	8
Conservative	24	16	49	11
Moderate	25	18	48	9
White	25	16	48	11
Non-White	17	18	59	6
HS	21	13	50	17
Some College	25	16	50	9
College	26	19	46	8
Grad+	30	21	45	4
4 of 4	31	22	41	6
3 of 4	30	16	48	7
2 of 4	15	13	61	11
1 of 4	19	8	59	14
0 of 4	18	18	35	29
Wichita	24	17	47	12
Kansas City	25	19	47	9
Topeka	25	14	49	12
Other DMA	20	7	66	8
Rural	22	16	51	11
Suburban	26	16	48	10
Urban	29	18	42	11

Schmidt Image

Trend: Schmidt ImageWeek 1 → Week 4

Response	Wk 1	Wk 2	Wk 3	Wk 4	Chg
Favorable	13%	11%	14%	13%	−1
Unfavorable	31%	34%	43%	49%	+6
Unsure	41%	42%	34%	30%	−4
Never Heard	14%	14%	9%	8%	−1

Favorable

13%

Unfavorable

49%

Unsure

30%

Never Heard

Full Question:

What is your opinion of Vicki Schmidt?

	Favorable	Unfavorable	Unsure	Never Heard
Election Day	11	49	32	8
Early By Mail	15	59	23	2
Early In Person	14	53	28	4
Undecided	14	25	33	28
Trump	7	54	28	10
Fiscal	21	42	32	5
Christian	10	52	32	7
Traditional	20	41	31	7
Female	13	51	28	7
Male	12	47	32	9
18-34	3	37	29	32
35-44	21	37	30	13
45-54	15	39	45	2
55-64	11	55	26	8
65+	12	55	28	4
Conservative	8	54	31	8
Moderate	29	33	29	10
White	13	49	30	8
Non-White	7	50	36	8
HS	5	51	30	14
Some College	11	50	34	5
College	16	50	28	6
Grad+	27	43	27	3
4 of 4	18	54	26	1
3 of 4	13	51	30	6
2 of 4	10	57	28	5
1 of 4	10	40	42	9
0 of 4	5	32	30	33
Wichita	12	51	28	10
Kansas City	12	49	34	5
Topeka	17	46	27	10
Other DMA	8	50	36	6
Rural	11	49	33	7
Suburban	14	51	27	8
Urban	15	46	30	9

Initial Governor Ballot

Trend: Initial Governor BallotWeek 1 → Week 4

Response	Wk 1	Wk 2	Wk 3	Wk 4	Chg
Ty Masterson	28%	29%	31%	34%	+3
Philip Sarnecki	16%	15%	21%	21%	±0
Scott Schwab	6%	7%	8%	8%	±0
Vicki Schmidt	8%	4%	8%	7%	−1
Charlotte O'Hara	2%	3%	3%	3%	±0
Stacy Rogers	2%	2%	3%	3%	±0
Nick Reinecker	0%	1%	0%	1%	+1
Undecided	39%	39%	26%	22%	−4

Ty Masterson

34%

Philip Sarnecki

21%

Scott Schwab

Vicki Schmidt

Charlotte O'Hara

Stacy Rogers

Nick Reinecker

Undecided

22%

Full Question:

If the August 4th Republican primary election for Governor of Kansas were held today, who would you vote for?

	Ty Masterson	Philip Sarnecki	Scott Schwab	Vicki Schmidt	Charlotte O'Hara	Stacy Rogers	Nick Reinecker	Undecided
Election Day	34	23	7	5	3	4	1	23
Early By Mail	39	24	12	10	4	1	0	8
Early In Person	37	20	10	9	3	3	1	17
Undecided	20	13	6	12	2	0	0	47
Trump	43	22	7	2	3	2	1	20
Fiscal	20	18	8	16	3	3	2	28
Christian	37	25	8	4	4	6	2	14
Traditional	24	20	13	14	1	2	0	26
Female	33	21	9	6	4	4	0	21
Male	35	21	8	8	2	2	2	23
18-34	33	7	10	2	0	10	7	31
35-44	20	33	4	13	5	8	1	16
45-54	27	22	8	11	3	5	0	25
55-64	33	26	9	5	4	2	0	21
65+	41	19	9	7	3	1	0	21
Conservative	40	24	8	3	3	4	1	17
Moderate	15	13	9	22	2	1	1	37
White	34	21	9	7	3	3	1	22
Non-White	32	39	5	2	3	4	3	13
HS	40	18	9	2	1	3	2	24
Some College	34	24	7	6	4	4	1	22
College	31	25	7	10	4	4	0	18
Grad+	25	17	11	19	3	2	1	21
4 of 4	39	20	9	11	4	2	0	15
3 of 4	35	23	8	8	2	2	0	22
2 of 4	30	23	10	7	3	4	2	22
1 of 4	26	25	8	5	2	4	0	30
0 of 4	39	13	7	0	1	5	6	29
Wichita	36	21	9	7	1	3	2	21
Kansas City	30	24	8	7	6	1	1	24
Topeka	32	20	7	10	2	5	0	23
Other DMA	49	16	7	6	2	8	0	12
Rural	33	23	8	5	2	6	0	23
Suburban	37	19	8	10	4	1	2	20
Urban	33	21	11	6	5	1	0	23

Governor Ballot 2nd Choice

Ty Masterson

20%

Scott Schwab

15%

Philip Sarnecki

15%

Vicki Schmidt

Charlotte O'Hara

Stacy Rogers

Nick Reinecker

Undecided

41%

Full Question:

Now, if your first choice was not available, who would you vote for in the August 4th Republican primary election for Governor of Kansas?

	Ty Masterson	Scott Schwab	Philip Sarnecki	Vicki Schmidt	Charlotte O'Hara	Stacy Rogers	Nick Reinecker	Undecided
Election Day	18	16	16	2	2	3	1	42
Early By Mail	28	9	11	8	3	0	0	41
Early In Person	23	15	15	3	6	3	1	35
Undecided	11	9	7	4	3	4	1	60
Trump	25	12	12	1	4	4	0	41
Fiscal	8	16	15	4	4	4	1	48
Christian	28	15	18	3	3	1	0	32
Traditional	10	20	17	5	2	3	1	42
Female	21	15	13	3	4	2	0	42
Male	18	15	17	2	3	4	1	40
18-34	22	15	9	1	1	4	0	47
35-44	19	20	20	1	6	6	0	29
45-54	18	11	17	4	3	3	1	43
55-64	16	16	12	4	5	3	0	44
65+	21	15	15	3	3	2	1	41
Conservative	23	15	15	2	4	3	0	38
Moderate	9	13	12	6	3	4	1	52
White	20	15	14	3	3	3	0	42
Non-White	16	14	27	2	3	7	2	27
HS	22	15	13	1	1	3	0	44
Some College	22	13	16	3	3	3	0	40
College	18	15	14	4	6	4	0	40
Grad+	12	20	16	4	5	2	2	39
4 of 4	19	18	14	4	4	3	1	37
3 of 4	15	15	20	2	6	3	0	39
2 of 4	34	10	9	3	3	1	0	39
1 of 4	11	14	17	3	1	5	0	48
0 of 4	22	14	9	1	0	2	1	50
Wichita	17	15	13	3	2	5	0	45
Kansas City	20	15	16	2	6	2	1	39
Topeka	22	15	15	4	2	1	0	40
Other DMA	33	13	15	6	2	1	0	30
Rural	22	14	12	2	2	4	0	43
Suburban	18	17	15	2	4	2	1	40
Urban	18	12	21	6	7	2	1	35

Endorsement Belief

Trend: Endorsement BeliefWeek 1 → Week 4

Response	Wk 1	Wk 2	Wk 3	Wk 4	Chg
Ty Masterson	65%	65%	72%	77%	+5
Philip Sarnecki	1%	1%	2%	2%	±0
Scott Schwab	1%	2%	0%	0%	±0
Stacy Rogers	•	0%	•	1%	•
Vicki Schmidt	2%	0%	1%	0%	−1
Nick Reinecker	0%	0%	1%	0%	−1
Charlotte O'Hara	0%	0%	0%	0%	±0
Unsure	27%	28%	22%	18%	−4
None	4%	4%	2%	2%	±0

Ty Masterson

77%

Philip Sarnecki

Scott Schwab

Stacy Rogers

Vicki Schmidt

Nick Reinecker

Charlotte O'Hara

Unsure

18%

None

Full Question:

Based on what you know today, has President Trump endorsed a candidate for Governor of Kansas, and if so, who do you believe he has endorsed?

Yes, endorsed Ty Masterson
Yes, endorsed Philip Sarnecki
Yes, endorsed Scott Schwab
Yes, endorsed Stacy Rogers
Yes, endorsed Vicki Schmidt
Yes, endorsed Nick Reinecker
Yes, endorsed Charlotte O'Hara
Unsure
He has not endorsed a candidate

	Ty Masterson	Philip Sarnecki	Scott Schwab	Stacy Rogers	Vicki Schmidt	Nick Reinecker	Charlotte O'Hara	Unsure	None
Election Day	76	3	0	1	0	0	0	18	2
Early By Mail	84	1	0	0	0	0	0	13	2
Early In Person	82	1	1	0	0	0	0	15	1
Undecided	53	1	0	2	0	0	0	41	3
Trump	77	3	0	1	0	0	0	17	1
Fiscal	78	1	0	1	0	0	0	17	3
Christian	78	1	0	0	0	0	0	19	1
Traditional	75	3	1	1	0	0	0	19	1
Female	77	2	0	0	0	0	0	19	1
Male	77	2	0	1	0	0	0	17	2
18-34	57	0	0	4	0	1	0	37	0
35-44	82	3	0	0	0	0	0	13	2
45-54	81	2	0	2	0	0	0	14	1
55-64	80	1	1	0	0	0	0	17	1
65+	77	2	0	1	0	0	0	17	2
Conservative	79	2	0	1	0	0	0	16	1
Moderate	70	1	0	1	0	0	0	25	3
White	77	2	0	1	0	0	0	18	2
Non-White	74	4	0	4	1	3	1	12	1
HS	72	2	0	2	0	0	0	23	0
Some College	77	2	1	1	0	0	0	17	3
College	82	1	0	0	0	0	0	14	2
Grad+	79	2	1	0	0	0	0	16	2
4 of 4	84	1	0	0	0	0	0	13	1
3 of 4	81	2	1	0	0	0	0	15	1
2 of 4	75	1	1	0	0	0	0	20	3
1 of 4	68	6	0	3	0	0	0	21	2
0 of 4	65	0	0	1	0	1	0	32	1
Wichita	79	1	0	2	0	0	0	16	1
Kansas City	74	1	1	0	0	0	0	21	3
Topeka	79	3	0	0	0	0	0	17	1
Other DMA	72	4	0	0	1	0	0	22	2
Rural	74	2	0	1	0	0	0	21	2
Suburban	80	2	1	0	0	0	0	14	2
Urban	77	1	0	1	0	0	0	21	1

Most Important Issue

Trend: Most Important IssueWeek 2 → Week 4

Response	Wk 2	Wk 3	Wk 4	Chg
Property Tax	23%	22%	22%	±0
Taxes/Spending	22%	20%	21%	+1
Pro-Life	8%	10%	10%	±0
Inflation	12%	12%	10%	−2
Secure Elections	7%	7%	7%	±0
Jobs/Economy	5%	6%	6%	±0
Border/Immigr.	5%	3%	5%	+2
Healthcare	2%	4%	4%	±0
Crime/Safety	4%	4%	4%	±0
Parental Rights	1%	3%	2%	−1
Other	11%	7%	8%	+1

Property Tax

22%

Taxes/Spending

21%

Pro-Life

10%

Inflation

10%

Secure Elections

Jobs/Economy

Border/Immigr.

Healthcare

Crime/Safety

Parental Rights

Other

Full Question:

What do you consider the most important issue facing Kansas?

Property tax reform
Cutting taxes and wasteful government spending
Protecting the lives of the unborn
Inflation and rising prices
Securing our elections
Jobs and the economy
Immigration and border security
Expanding access to healthcare
Supporting law enforcement and increasing penalties for violent criminals
Protecting parental rights in education
Other

	Property Tax	Taxes/Spending	Pro-Life	Inflation	Secure Elections	Jobs/Economy	Border/Immigr.	Healthcare	Crime/Safety	Parental Rights	Other
Election Day	23	21	11	9	7	6	5	3	3	3	8
Early By Mail	19	31	2	14	3	4	8	8	5	1	4
Early In Person	22	21	11	11	8	6	3	4	5	2	8
Undecided	18	14	6	16	5	10	8	7	1	1	14
Trump	24	25	8	6	11	5	7	2	5	2	7
Fiscal	26	18	2	15	4	12	3	6	3	2	10
Christian	17	19	25	9	7	3	4	3	3	4	7
Traditional	19	18	5	19	1	7	4	10	4	2	11
Female	21	22	12	9	7	6	5	4	5	2	7
Male	23	20	7	12	7	7	5	4	3	2	9
18-34	7	17	27	11	0	11	12	4	2	2	6
35-44	27	17	11	12	0	9	2	4	2	3	12
45-54	29	16	8	12	5	7	2	7	0	4	10
55-64	25	24	6	10	12	6	4	4	2	1	6
65+	21	23	8	9	9	4	6	3	6	2	8
Conservative	23	22	12	8	8	4	6	1	4	2	8
Moderate	18	18	3	20	3	12	1	13	3	1	9
White	22	22	10	11	7	6	5	4	4	2	8
Non-White	32	13	16	4	1	9	5	1	2	1	16
HS	23	22	12	8	8	4	6	4	6	1	7
Some College	20	22	7	11	8	5	5	3	4	4	10
College	23	21	12	11	7	8	4	3	2	3	6
Grad+	22	20	6	14	4	12	2	8	2	1	9
4 of 4	21	23	11	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	6
3 of 4	24	21	8	11	7	6	3	7	5	2	8
2 of 4	24	23	5	12	7	6	6	2	5	1	9
1 of 4	24	22	8	10	7	4	4	1	4	3	12
0 of 4	15	14	22	8	4	10	10	5	1	4	7
Wichita	24	19	13	9	8	5	4	4	5	2	9
Kansas City	22	24	8	8	7	7	7	5	3	3	8
Topeka	19	24	8	14	4	8	3	4	4	3	8
Other DMA	18	19	5	26	8	2	10	0	3	1	7
Rural	25	23	9	10	7	4	4	3	3	2	9
Suburban	22	19	11	10	7	8	6	4	3	2	7
Urban	12	21	10	14	6	9	5	5	8	4	6

Informed Governor Ballot

Trend: Informed Governor BallotWeek 1 → Week 4

Response	Wk 1	Wk 2	Wk 3	Wk 4	Chg
Ty Masterson	41%	38%	39%	40%	+1
Philip Sarnecki	13%	14%	21%	22%	+1
Scott Schwab	4%	7%	6%	8%	+2
Vicki Schmidt	7%	3%	9%	7%	−2
Charlotte O'Hara	2%	2%	3%	3%	±0
Stacy Rogers	2%	3%	1%	3%	+2
Nick Reinecker	1%	0%	0%	1%	+1
Undecided	29%	31%	20%	17%	−3

Ty Masterson

40%

Philip Sarnecki

22%

Scott Schwab

Vicki Schmidt

Charlotte O'Hara

Stacy Rogers

Nick Reinecker

Undecided

17%

Full Question:

President Trump has endorsed Ty Masterson for Governor of Kansas. Knowing what you know now, if the August 4th Republican primary election for Governor of Kansas were held today, who would you vote for?

	Ty Masterson	Philip Sarnecki	Scott Schwab	Vicki Schmidt	Charlotte O'Hara	Stacy Rogers	Nick Reinecker	Undecided
Election Day	39	23	7	6	3	4	1	18
Early By Mail	39	28	13	10	5	0	0	7
Early In Person	41	20	8	9	2	3	0	16
Undecided	38	12	5	12	2	0	0	31
Trump	53	22	5	2	3	2	0	14
Fiscal	22	19	8	17	3	3	0	26
Christian	42	24	8	3	3	6	2	13
Traditional	26	22	14	16	2	2	0	19
Female	39	22	7	7	3	4	0	17
Male	41	21	8	8	2	2	1	17
18-34	41	6	14	2	0	10	4	23
35-44	23	33	5	14	4	8	0	12
45-54	29	23	8	11	3	4	1	21
55-64	40	23	8	6	4	2	0	18
65+	47	21	7	7	2	1	0	16
Conservative	47	23	7	3	3	3	1	14
Moderate	15	17	12	23	2	1	1	29
White	40	21	8	8	3	3	0	17
Non-White	36	38	5	3	3	3	2	11
HS	48	20	8	2	1	3	1	17
Some College	39	24	7	6	3	3	0	18
College	35	25	6	11	4	3	0	15
Grad+	29	16	11	20	4	2	0	18
4 of 4	42	21	8	11	4	2	0	12
3 of 4	39	23	7	9	2	1	0	18
2 of 4	36	23	6	7	3	4	0	20
1 of 4	32	26	9	5	3	4	0	21
0 of 4	53	9	9	0	1	5	3	20
Wichita	40	21	9	7	1	3	1	19
Kansas City	37	24	8	7	6	1	0	17
Topeka	41	20	6	10	1	5	0	16
Other DMA	53	13	6	6	2	8	0	12
Rural	38	24	7	6	1	5	0	18
Suburban	41	20	8	10	4	1	1	16
Urban	40	21	11	6	5	1	0	16

News Source

Trend: News SourceWeek 2 → Week 4

Response	Wk 2	Wk 3	Wk 4	Chg
Cable TV	22%	24%	26%	+2
Social media	24%	24%	25%	+1
Local TV	16%	13%	12%	−1
Online News	10%	11%	10%	−1
Streaming	6%	8%	8%	±0
Radio	7%	5%	5%	±0
Newspapers	2%	1%	2%	+1
Other	14%	13%	13%	±0

Cable TV

26%

Social media

25%

Local TV

12%

Online News

10%

Streaming

Radio

Newspapers

Other

13%

Full Question:

What is your main source of news?

Cable TV
Social media, like Facebook or Twitter/X
Local TV
Online newspapers
Streaming television, like Netflix or Hulu
Radio
Print newspapers
Other

	Cable TV	Social media	Local TV	Online News	Streaming	Radio	Newspapers	Other
Election Day	22	28	11	10	10	5	2	12
Early By Mail	30	10	20	14	7	2	8	8
Early In Person	31	19	13	10	6	5	1	15
Undecided	25	40	13	4	2	2	0	12
Trump	31	25	10	5	8	5	1	15
Fiscal	21	19	14	16	10	7	2	11
Christian	18	32	16	11	5	3	2	14
Traditional	29	24	11	13	7	3	3	10
Female	28	22	13	9	7	3	2	16
Male	23	28	12	11	9	6	2	10
18-34	5	76	2	8	2	3	0	5
35-44	8	44	3	22	2	4	1	16
45-54	17	32	8	12	9	6	0	16
55-64	25	22	14	9	12	6	1	10
65+	37	9	17	7	8	4	3	15
Conservative	27	27	10	8	8	5	1	14
Moderate	22	16	21	18	6	4	3	9
White	26	24	13	10	8	5	2	13
Non-White	14	51	7	8	6	4	2	7
HS	26	33	14	6	10	5	1	4
Some College	30	18	11	7	8	5	3	19
College	20	24	13	15	5	4	1	17
Grad+	25	22	10	19	5	3	2	14
4 of 4	32	12	16	10	5	5	3	16
3 of 4	30	18	14	12	8	5	3	11
2 of 4	25	21	13	11	12	2	1	16
1 of 4	20	37	8	7	9	7	1	12
0 of 4	9	65	2	9	5	2	0	7
Wichita	23	30	12	9	7	4	1	13
Kansas City	33	18	13	12	5	5	2	12
Topeka	22	25	12	9	11	5	2	14
Other DMA	13	28	10	11	19	6	2	11
Rural	19	28	13	9	10	6	2	13
Suburban	33	24	11	11	4	3	2	12
Urban	26	17	16	11	10	4	1	14

Republican Type

Trend: Republican TypeWeek 2 → Week 4

Response	Wk 2	Wk 3	Wk 4	Chg
Trump	38%	40%	43%	+3
Fiscal	22%	20%	21%	+1
Christian	25%	24%	21%	−3
Traditional	15%	15%	15%	±0

Trump

43%

Fiscal

21%

Christian

21%

Traditional

15%

Full Question:

Which of the following types of Republican voters do you consider yourself to be?

Trump Republican
Economic or fiscal conservative
Christian/Evangelical
Traditional/Establishment

	Trump	Fiscal	Christian	Traditional
Election Day	44	19	22	15
Early By Mail	46	16	25	12
Early In Person	40	24	20	15
Undecided	48	24	16	11
Trump	100	0	0	0
Fiscal	0	100	0	0
Christian	0	0	100	0
Traditional	0	0	0	100
Female	43	19	25	13
Male	43	24	18	16
18-34	34	19	33	13
35-44	26	24	31	19
45-54	40	27	20	13
55-64	48	20	17	16
65+	48	19	19	14
Conservative	49	15	25	10
Moderate	21	42	8	29
White	44	21	21	14
Non-White	26	20	23	30
HS	50	12	23	15
Some College	48	20	21	11
College	36	26	22	16
Grad+	26	37	17	21
4 of 4	40	21	23	16
3 of 4	43	24	20	14
2 of 4	48	24	15	13
1 of 4	47	21	15	17
0 of 4	39	10	40	11
Wichita	40	19	26	15
Kansas City	48	23	15	15
Topeka	43	21	20	15
Other DMA	38	27	27	9
Rural	45	18	23	15
Suburban	44	23	20	12
Urban	34	26	18	21

Methodology & Demographics

Fielded On:: July 26-28, 2026
Method:: Mobile Text Responses and Landline Interviews
Population & Sample Description:: 1813 Likely Republican Primary Voters
Weighting:: Age, Gender, Education, Race, and DMA
MoE:: ±2.28%

Republican Type

Trump	43%
Fiscal	21%
Christian	21%
Traditional	15%

Gender

Female	52%
Male	48%

Age

18-34	9%
35-44	11%
45-54	14%
55-64	20%
65+	46%

Ideology

Conservative	78%
Moderate	22%

Race

White	96%
Non-White	4%

Education

HS	33%
Some College	31%
College	22%
Grad+	14%

Last 4 Primaries

4 of 4	31%
3 of 4	25%
2 of 4	18%
1 of 4	16%
0 of 4	11%

DMA

Wichita-Hutchinson Plus	43%
Kansas City	34%
Topeka	16%
Other DMA	6%

Household Income

<$50k	13%
$50-75k	19%
$75-100k	18%
$100-150k	35%
$150k+	15%

Community Type

Rural	47%
Suburban	40%
Urban	13%

For information, contact:

Ryan Munce

President

co/efficient

ryan@coefficient.org